Download PDF by CSI Global Education Inc.: Canadian Securities Course - Volume II (2010)

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Extra info for Canadian Securities Course - Volume II (2010)

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Only an experienced analyst should try to select the companies that will emerge as dominant forces in a fledgling industry. The term speculative can also be used to describe any company, even a large one, if its shares are treated as speculative. For example, shares of growth companies can be bid up to high multiples of estimated earnings per share as investors anticipate continuing exceptional growth. If, for any reason, investors begin to doubt these expectations, the price of the stock will fall.

Investors tend to fluctuate between pessimism, fear and panic on the one side, and optimism, greed and euphoria on the other side. By comparing current investor behaviour as reflected through market action with comparable historical market behaviour, the technical analyst attempts to make predictions. Even if history does not repeat itself exactly, technical analysts believe that they can learn a lot from the past. Comparing Technical Analysis to Fundamental Analysis In comparing technical analysis with fundamental analysis, remember that the demand and supply factors that technicians are trying to spot are the result of fundamental developments in company earnings.

Analysts identify trends by selecting a base date or period, treating the figure or ratio for that period as 100, and then dividing it into the comparable ratios for subsequent periods. 18 100 112 147 149 169 Trend The above example uses Year 1 as the base year. 18, is treated as equivalent to 100. 18 into the earnings per share ratio for each subsequent year. 4. 71 100 113 127 118 110 Trend The trend line of each of these two companies shows the characteristic fluctuations of pulp and paper company earnings.

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